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ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.The U.S. Treasury auctioned eight-term treasury bonds, and the winning bid rate was 4.500% (4.350% on December 5), and the bid multiple was 2.81 (3.50 in the previous auction).Italian 10-year bond yields rose 16 basis points to 3.35%, the biggest increase since April.

Canada Post withdrew the dismissal of the strikers. The strike continued. On the 11th local time, the trade union representing the Canadian postal workers issued a statement late at night, saying that under the mediation of the Industrial Relations Committee, a settlement agreement had been reached with Canada Post on the dismissal of the previous strikers, and Canada Post would withdraw their dismissal. However, Canada Post said that according to the terms of the settlement agreement, the company reserves the right to make personnel adjustments if necessary in the future. On November 28th, local time, the trade union representing the postal workers in Canada said in a notice sent to its members that since the postal workers went on strike, Canada Post Company has been dismissing striking employees. Up to now, the Canada Post strike has lasted for four weeks, and there is still no sign of ending.YiXixi sovereign bond yields in the euro zone rose by about 16 basis points at most. In 2024, the European Central Bank cut interest rates three times. The yield of French 10-year government bonds rose by 9.5 basis points to 2.987%, approaching the top of 3.032% on November 28th. US stocks briefly fell before the market, and reached a new low of 2.880% at 22:07 Beijing time (during the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde). The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 15.7 basis points to 3.348%, approaching the top of 3.410% on November 28th, and was on the rise all day, reaching a daily low of 3.218% at 21:56 (during Lagarde's press conference). Spain's 10-year bond yields rose by 11.6 basis points, while Greece's 10-year bond yields rose by 13.5 basis points.The Brazilian central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to 12.25% for the third time this year. On the 11th, local time, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Brazilian central bank announced that it had decided to raise its benchmark interest rate to 12.25%, which is the third time that the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates this year. Brazil's central bank said that the interest rate hike was affected by international uncertainties and Brazil's domestic economic policies, and it is expected that the benchmark interest rate will be raised again in January and March next year. Since August last year, the Brazilian central bank cut interest rates seven times in a row, stopped cutting interest rates in June this year, and then raised the benchmark interest rate three times in a row. After this adjustment, Brazil's benchmark interest rate at the end of 2024 was the same as that at the end of 2023, which was 12.25%. The latest "Focus" bulletin of the Brazilian central bank raised the expected inflation rate to 4.84% in 2024, which is higher than the upper limit of the country's inflation rate management target of 4.5% from 2024 to 2026.

African stock market | On Thursday (December 12th), the FTSE /JSE Africa Top 40 tradable index closed down 0.18% to 78,341.48 points. The South African rand is currently down 0.58% against the US dollar, reaching a fresh low of 17.8027 rand.Morgan stanley capital international's MSCI Nordic Countries Index fell 0.4% to 381.97. Evolution AB Group, an online gambling operator, fell 3.4%, which was the worst among the constituent stocks.LME metal futures closed down, while LME copper futures closed down $100 to $9092/ton. LME aluminum closed down $2 to $2,600/ton. LME zinc futures closed down $50 to $3,075/ton. LME lead closed down $38 to $2006/ton. LME nickel futures closed up $310 to $16,168/ton. LME tin closed down $423 to $329,534/ton. LME cobalt was flat at $24,300/ton.